The Fifth Anniversary of ErgodicityIt's the fifth anniversary of my bestselling book "Ergodicity: how irreversible outcomes affect long-term performance in work, investing, relationships, sport, and beyond!" Since then, I published the third edition and got some great reviews:
For those unfamiliar with ergodicity, the following excerpt from the first few pages of the book provides an introduction.
New podcast episodeTobias Carlisle and Jake Taylor interviewed me on Reproducible Success Strategies. Tweets & Quotes |
Everyone deserves better managers
I just wanted to share some more information about the 2026 Antifragile Organizations Course curriculum. I also offer a one-on-one version of the course on your schedule; more info below. The Curriculum The desired outcome is for you to learn how to make yourself, your team, and your organization more antifragile: not only more likely to survive problems, but also able to benefit from them. In concrete terms, it means you will change the culture from one where problems are hidden under the...
The Size of the Box Santa Clara’s School of Law steadily raised tuition year after year, from roughly $44,000 in 2015 to $63,280 in 2025. Yet it just announced its 2026–27 tuition: $50,000. Why the sudden drop, and why such a round number? That's because, starting next year, professional school borrowing in the US will be capped at $50,000 per year. Education costs, it turns out, expand to fill the size of the box we assume to be the default. Change the box, and the “necessary” cost instantly...
On surveys According to a recent survey, 12% of Americans aged 18 to 29 say they have operated a nuclear submarine. Of course, this is not possible: only a minuscule fraction of Americans have ever been licensed to operate one. The organization that administered the survey, Pew Research Center, proactively explains that, as in a classic case of Wittgenstein's Ruler, the result should not be read as information about submarine operators but as information about the unreliability of certain...